BEAVER
College football scores › Week 6 › Kansas at Utah
Kansas3-4away
24
FinalRice-Eccles Stadium, 74°, wind 17 mph
UtahNo. 67-0home
41
BEAVER UTAH −15.5, wonBEAVER Under 50.5, lostBEAVER had UTAH 87% to win

BEAVER against the market

Locked at kickoff, graded on the closing line
BEAVERSamMarketResultCall
Score (KU–UTAH)16–3415–33–24–41
SpreadUTAH −17.9UTAH −17.9UTAH −15.5UTAH by 17UTAH −15.5 ✓
Total49.548.350.565Under 50.5 ✗
UTAH win chance87%–−700Won
KU by 14+
2%
KU by 1–13
11%
UTAH by 1–13
27%
UTAH by 14+
60%

Spread: 2.4 pts better than Vegas for Utah (sides with a gap this size have won 51% in the backtest). Total: 1.0 pts below Vegas (52% historically).

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.045 #43Offense EPA / play+0.169 #11
−0.070 #28Defense EPA / play allowed−0.070 #27
+3.0% #36Offense success rate+6.6% #13
−6.7% #9Defense success rate allowed−5.2% #16
+0.103 #39Rushing EPA / play+0.180 #11
−0.078 #85Passing EPA / play+0.149 #22
−0.093 #22Rush defense EPA allowed−0.023 #44
+0.059 #74Pass defense EPA allowed−0.146 #16
+1.3 #55Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+9.2 #12
−0.3 #61Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−8.7 #9
Situational
+0.2% #52Passing-down success (3rd & long)+10.3% #4
−6.8% #8Passing-down success allowed−0.2% #67
+0.62 #28Points per drive+1.51 #10
−0.14 #49Points per drive allowed−0.57 #27
Trenches
+0.50 #11Line yards per rush+0.48 #15
−0.61 #6Line yards per rush allowed−0.18 #38
−7.5% #3Runs stuffed at the line−1.4% #78
+7.8% #5Opponent runs stuffed+2.7% #31
−0.6% #89Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−2.0% #55
+2.2% #22Havoc created+2.0% #24
Big plays
+0.042 #60Rushing explosiveness+0.187 #8
+0.219 #33Passing explosiveness+0.096 #76
−0.54 #120Open-field yards per rush+0.15 #33
+0.111 #109Pass explosiveness allowed−0.023 #60
Style and schedule
58% #39Run rate56% #64
−13.4 #111Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−9.4 #84

Kansas: last 4 games

W55-0
vsMiddle Tennessee
Covered
L17-24
vsArizona State
Missed
L21-38
vsMissouri
Missed
W51-6
vsLIU
Covered

Utah: last 4 games

W31-17
atIowa State
Covered
W33-0
vsUtah State
Covered
W43-10
vsArkansas
Covered
W66-14
vsIdaho
Covered

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.08+0.01+0.09+0.18+0.27Entering week123456Kansas · 1: +0.00Kansas · 2: +0.03Kansas · 3: −0.06Kansas · 4: +0.04Kansas · 5: +0.05Kansas · 6: +0.12Utah · 1: +0.16Utah · 2: +0.11Utah · 3: +0.14Utah · 4: +0.14Utah · 5: +0.24Utah · 6: +0.24
● Kansas● Utah