College football scores › Week 10 › Kentucky at Tennessee
Neyland Stadium, 47°, wind 5 mph
BEAVERBEAVER gives TENN 72% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Kentucky–––
Tennessee–––
Kentucky–––Tennessee–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (UK–TENN) | 21–30 | – | |
| Spread | TENN −9.0 | No line | |
| Total | 50.8 | – | |
| TENN win chance | 72% | – |
UK by 14+
7%
UK by 1–13
21%
TENN by 1–13
34%
TENN by 14+
38%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
+0.112 #22Offense EPA / play+0.064 #36
−0.087 #21Defense EPA / play allowed−0.181 #7
+7.8% #10Offense success rate+4.6% #25
+0.0% #63Defense success rate allowed−4.8% #20
+0.170 #17Rushing EPA / play+0.213 #6
+0.063 #41Passing EPA / play−0.071 #86
−0.074 #30Rush defense EPA allowed−0.088 #25
−0.097 #25Pass defense EPA allowed−0.231 #4
+6.7 #21Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+7.5 #14
−4.9 #32Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−7.9 #14
Situational
+1.4% #41Passing-down success (3rd & long)−4.3% #94
+6.8% #126Passing-down success allowed−5.5% #14
+0.70 #27Points per drive+0.96 #20
−0.77 #21Points per drive allowed−0.86 #17
Trenches
+0.55 #7Line yards per rush+0.56 #5
−0.29 #27Line yards per rush allowed−0.11 #52
−5.3% #19Runs stuffed at the line−6.9% #7
+1.8% #50Opponent runs stuffed+1.7% #51
−4.4% #16Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.9% #54
+3.5% #11Havoc created+5.7% #1
Big plays
−0.085 #112Rushing explosiveness+0.082 #38
−0.042 #124Passing explosiveness−0.049 #126
+0.09 #40Open-field yards per rush+0.08 #41
−0.109 #21Pass explosiveness allowed−0.288 #3
Style and schedule
55% #69Run rate63% #15
+7.1 #6Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+0.8 #28
Kentucky: last 5 games
| W34-17 | Covered | |
| W21-13 | Covered | |
| W35-34 | Covered | |
| W35-34 | Covered | |
| W45-21 | Covered |
Tennessee: last 5 games
| L24-27 | Missed | |
| W26-10 | Covered | |
| W24-17 | Missed | |
| W24-14 | Covered | |
| L17-20 | Covered |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekUKTENN
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyKentucky–––Tennessee–––
Kentucky–––Tennessee–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | TENN −9 | 50.8 | UK +251 · TENN −251 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| UK | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-2 |
| 5-1 | Conference | 3-2 |
| 4-1 | Home | 4-1 |
| 3-0 | Away | 2-1 |
| 7-1 | Against the spread | 4-4 |
| 5-3 | Over/under | 2-6 |
| 32.9 / 24.8 | Points for / against | 32.2 / 16.2 |
| +8.1 | Avg margin | +16.0 |
| +7.2 | Avg vs. the spread | +3.3 |
| 62.0 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 66.0 |