BEAVER
College football scores › Week 10 › Texas at Missouri
TexasNo. 115-2away
BEAVER projects26
Memorial Stadium, 52°, wind 9 mph
MissouriNo. 235-2home
BEAVER projects18
BEAVERBEAVER gives TEX 69% to win

Lines

Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.
SpreadTotalMoney
Texas–––
Missouri–––

BEAVER against the market

Updates until kickoff
BEAVERMarketCall
Score (TEX–MIZ)26–18–
SpreadTEX −7.9No line
Total44.8–
MIZ win chance31%–
TEX by 14+
35%
TEX by 1–13
35%
MIZ by 1–13
23%
MIZ by 14+
8%

BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.

Tale of the tape

BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.
Efficiency
+0.034 #46Offense EPA / play+0.043 #42
−0.186 #4Defense EPA / play allowed−0.120 #15
+3.5% #32Offense success rate−0.3% #70
−11.0% #1Defense success rate allowed−8.3% #8
+0.053 #57Rushing EPA / play+0.017 #77
+0.062 #43Passing EPA / play+0.109 #29
−0.179 #7Rush defense EPA allowed−0.117 #18
−0.202 #10Pass defense EPA allowed−0.093 #26
+7.6 #13Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+2.2 #50
−12.3 #3Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−7.4 #19
Situational
+3.0% #29Passing-down success (3rd & long)−0.4% #55
−9.9% #1Passing-down success allowed−5.3% #15
+0.97 #19Points per drive+0.27 #54
−1.72 #1Points per drive allowed−0.89 #15
Trenches
+0.06 #76Line yards per rush+0.05 #77
−0.58 #7Line yards per rush allowed−0.48 #10
−1.3% #77Runs stuffed at the line−0.7% #88
+5.9% #8Opponent runs stuffed+4.5% #18
−0.0% #104Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−0.7% #89
+5.0% #4Havoc created+4.4% #7
Big plays
−0.084 #111Rushing explosiveness−0.072 #106
+0.156 #54Passing explosiveness+0.200 #34
−0.01 #51Open-field yards per rush−0.01 #52
−0.135 #15Pass explosiveness allowed+0.065 #94
Style and schedule
58% #43Run rate56% #65
+11.6 #1Strength of schedule (avg opponent)−1.6 #37

Texas: last 5 games

W34-27
vsOle Miss
Covered
L24-27
vsFlorida
Missed
L24-27
vsOklahoma
Missed
W20-17
atTennessee
Missed
W30-6
vsUTSA
Missed

Missouri: last 5 games

L3-31
atOle Miss
Missed
W27-6
vsTexas A&M
Covered
W45-17
vsFlorida
Covered
L24-31
atMississippi State
Missed
W27-17
vsTroy
Missed

Rating trend

BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each week
−0.02+0.06+0.14+0.22+0.30Entering week12345678910Texas · 1: +0.25Texas · 2: +0.25Texas · 3: +0.25Texas · 4: +0.24Texas · 5: +0.28Texas · 6: +0.28Texas · 7: +0.25Texas · 8: +0.21Texas · 9: +0.22Texas · 10: +0.22Missouri · 1: +0.15Missouri · 2: +0.09Missouri · 3: +0.16Missouri · 4: +0.16Missouri · 5: +0.17Missouri · 6: +0.23Missouri · 7: +0.22Missouri · 8: +0.17Missouri · 9: +0.16Missouri · 10: +0.16
● Texas● Missouri