College football scores › Week 10 › Arkansas at Auburn
BEAVERBEAVER gives AUB 75% to win
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoney
Arkansas–––
Auburn–––
Arkansas–––Auburn–––BEAVER against the market
Updates until kickoff| BEAVER | Market | Call | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score (ARK–AUB) | 21–31 | – | |
| Spread | AUB −10.6 | No line | |
| Total | 52.3 | – | |
| AUB win chance | 75% | – |
ARK by 14+
6%
ARK by 1–13
19%
AUB by 1–13
33%
AUB by 14+
41%
BEAVER makes its calls once Vegas posts a line.
Tale of the tape
BEAVER Stats, opponent-adjusted, entering the game. Rank among 138 FBS teams.Efficiency
−0.010 #72Offense EPA / play+0.063 #37
+0.069 #85Defense EPA / play allowed−0.065 #30
+3.4% #34Offense success rate+1.8% #52
+0.3% #73Defense success rate allowed−3.0% #30
+0.024 #73Rushing EPA / play+0.182 #12
+0.001 #61Passing EPA / play−0.034 #71
+0.069 #91Rush defense EPA allowed−0.048 #38
+0.067 #80Pass defense EPA allowed−0.055 #36
−2.4 #77Scoring offense (pts vs avg)+1.2 #58
−0.5 #61Scoring defense (pts vs avg)−6.9 #23
Situational
−3.2% #80Passing-down success (3rd & long)+1.7% #38
−5.0% #17Passing-down success allowed−3.2% #31
−0.26 #81Points per drive+0.07 #62
+0.25 #75Points per drive allowed−1.13 #8
Trenches
+0.08 #74Line yards per rush+0.40 #22
−0.02 #66Line yards per rush allowed−0.31 #23
−4.3% #33Runs stuffed at the line−4.4% #31
−1.5% #88Opponent runs stuffed+2.5% #38
−0.6% #92Havoc allowed (TFL, sacks, PBU)−1.4% #69
−1.4% #90Havoc created+0.6% #41
Big plays
−0.069 #105Rushing explosiveness+0.147 #12
−0.083 #131Passing explosiveness+0.085 #86
−0.47 #113Open-field yards per rush+0.28 #22
+0.004 #66Pass explosiveness allowed−0.045 #35
Style and schedule
52% #107Run rate55% #72
+3.5 #10Strength of schedule (avg opponent)+8.4 #3
Arkansas: last 5 games
| W31-21 | Covered | |
| L17-24 | Covered | |
| L7-34 | Missed | |
| W34-6 | Covered | |
| L17-45 | Missed |
Auburn: last 5 games
| L17-38 | Missed | |
| W27-24 | Covered | |
| L14-24 | Missed | |
| W21-15 | Missed | |
| L39-44 | Missed |
Rating trend
BEAVER Stats: net EPA per play against an average team, entering each weekARKAUB
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The box score fills in after the game.
Lines
Tap a price to add it to your slip. Circled is BEAVER’s pick: solid for a best bet, dashed for a lean.SpreadTotalMoneyArkansas–––Auburn–––
Arkansas–––Auburn–––Lines
latest from each book| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consensus | – | – | – |
| BEAVER fair line | AUB −10.6 | 52.3 | ARK +295 · AUB −295 |
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Tendencies
Season to date. Against the spread and over/under use closing lines.| ARK | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 4-3 |
| 1-3 | Conference | 2-3 |
| 2-2 | Home | 2-2 |
| 1-2 | Away | 1-1 |
| 3-4 | Against the spread | 2-5 |
| 2-5 | Over/under | 3-4 |
| 21.0 / 26.7 | Points for / against | 25.4 / 24.1 |
| -5.7 | Avg margin | +1.3 |
| -2.4 | Avg vs. the spread | -0.7 |
| 59.3 | Plays per game (excl. garbage time) | 65.4 |